If you saw my spread pick, this one shouldn't be a shock. If you didn't, I think this is going to be a close game dominated by rushing attacks and defenses.

Army's run game is one of the best in the country. On Saturday, they face a defense that's allowed no more than 14 points in a game over their last five contests. That's a recipe for long drives that may or may not actually go anywhere. Meanwhile, the Army defense has quietly been very solid this season. Granted, this is their biggest test of the year, but I don't think they get lit up.

This hits me as a 21-14 type of game, with both teams taking turns struggling to go anywhere. With that said, give me "under 44.5" in Saturday's clash at Yankee Stadium.