This is an 8* TOP IL TOTAL on the UNDER Twins/Padres.

We had a play on the UNDER in the Padres 10-1 win yesterday, and while that play came up short, we definitely like the way Saturday's contest finally sets up as more of a defensive "DUEL."

Minnesota has lost three straight, and that's important to note here for us, as the Twins have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row.

Minnesota has also seen the total go OVER the number in six straight, which is also significant to note as the Twins have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

And with the win yesterday, the Padres have now seen the total fly OVER the number in five straight.

That's a lot of combined OVERs between these two teams, but everything points to Sonny Gray and Joe Musgrove garnering most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries.

Gray is 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA, while Musgrove is 8-3 with a 2.63 ERA.

The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends listed above, make the UNDER the correct call in this game Saturday night.

Good luck, NP