Oklahoma City won two out of their three games they played last season versus the Clippers. They won both home games by double digits but lost the road game in LA by 11 points. Kawhi played in that game and had 19 points while Paul George put up 38 points. Paul is gone and Kawhi is not playing in this game and they face a young talented Thunder team with a chip on their shoulders. They are trying to establish themselves as the team to beat in the West. OKC will be in a back to back position in this game, however, last season, they performed well in this spot winning over 60% of those back to back situations. This is a tough spot for the Clippers and Harden to guard a talented team like this with players like Shai. They are off two losses too bad teams and the Clippers are just 3-6 ATS as a home underdog. There is value in laying the small number with the better team in OKC as long as everyone plays and no one sits on the bench, OKC should cover this even in this back to back spot.

Best bet: lay the points with Oklahoma City.