Texas State started the season with a lot of promise and they were expected to be a conference contender but they have turned the ball over in most of their games and last week's performance at home was terrible. They only have 4 wins and they are struggling now to just make a bowl game. Now they are back on the road where they are 3-5 ATS this season and play ULM who are just one win away from a bowl game. They are 6-2 ATS for the season and 4-0 ATS at home. Team is playing much better and they are taking better care of the ball. Their last five of six meetings have been all within a touchdown and they are playing with revenge as they lost last season to the bobcats by 1 pt. They are an underdog at home catching a touchdown, so take the points.

Best bet: take the points with UL Monroe.