Last season, the under was 12-1 when the home team was playing its third home game in four days and the road team was playing a two-day rest game. I also like the under for the fact that these teams recently played, so they will be plenty familiar with each other's tendencies and will be well-prepared. On top of that, Orlando is missing its star, Paolo Banchero, and Wendell Carter Jr. is also out. Indiana also has a few injuries, with Obi Toppin questionable to play with an ankle sprain.

NBA bettors love to bet the over, but I see a fair amount of money on the under, which also strengthens my belief tonight's game will be lower-scoring than expected.