CLE BROWNS ML
(NFL) Browns (CLE) vs. Saints (NO),
Money Line: -110.00 Browns (CLE) (Away)
Result: Loss
The Browns are rested and healthy coming off a bye facing a New Orleans team that got off the mat for one week, but are we really impressed? NOLA had a 37% offensive success rate, while ATL was at 53%. It was clear to me the Saints were outplayed, but the Falcons didn't play with the fire they needed to avoid the upset after several wins.

Cleveland should have a significant advantage in the trenches in this game. New Orleans ranks 28th in pass rush win rate, 29th in run stop win rate, and 31st in Rush DVOA. The Browns' o-line has gotten healthier with Jack Conklin and Wyatt Teller back and the massive Dawand Jones taking over for the benched Jedrick Willis. NOLA also traded away Marshon Lattimore and is dealing with other injuries to starting players. Expect Nick Chubb to get to work and find the end zone once or twice. This is also a "revenge" game for Cleveland QB Jameis Winston against his old squad.

On the other side of the football, the fearsome Browns pass rush (6th in pass-rush win rate) should tee off against a Saints line that's 31st in pass-block win rate. QB Derek Carr could be under duress often, a scary thought with receivers Chris Olave and Rashid Shaeed out.

Cleveland was better than it looked in its last game versus the Chargers, blowing several quality drives. I believe that will be a point of emphasis for them this week, and after a week off, they should be ready to show off against a bad Saints team.