There are no secrets this late in the second-round of the playoffs. Each team has won on its home-court. I see that pattern continuing here. The Grizzlies have beaten and covered the last four times they've hosted the Spurs, including Games 3 and 4 of this series.

Kawhi Leonard is a monster. But Marc Gasol and Mike Conley give the Grizzlies the second and third-best players on the court. Conley provides the Grizzlies a backcourt edge as Tony Parker and Manu Ginobli are past their prime. Memphis' role players step up better at home, too.

The Spurs were impressive in Game 5. But that was in San Antonio and the Spurs shot 52.5 percent from the floor, hit 14 of their 28 3-pointers and shot nearly 82 percent from the foul line. I don't see that happening in Memphis. The Grizzlies ranked third in fewest points allowed per game and also were third in defensive field goal percentage during the regular season.