The weather is going to be cold and there will be a slight wind blowing in, but now that this total has gone under 7 I'm involved in the Over.

Jerad Eickhoff has a 4.91 road ERA and the Phillies' bullpen lacks a dominant closer. I can't see their pitching shutting down the Cubs offense. The over has cashed in 12 of Chicago's last 14 games.

Jake Arrieta isn't the same pitcher he was before the mid-point of last season. He's still good, but no longer great. The Phillies have a number of underrated hitters that can take advantage.