The Indians are averaging a meager two runs per game during their last four games. The Rays have scored just four runs during their last five games.

So why try to make an Over work here?

Law of averages for one. Cleveland ranks eighth in the majors in runs and batting average. The Rays have smacked the ninth most homers in the majors.

The other major factor is Blake Snell is going to pitch. The Rays realize Snell shouldn't be in the majors. That's why they sent him down to Triple-A Durham less than a week ago. But an injury to Alex Cobb has put Snell back for another big league start.

Snell has a 5.02 ERA at Tropicana Field. He has yielded a home run in each of his last four starts. Tampa Bay has a bad bullpen and Snell doesn't go deep into games. The over has cashed in eight of his last 11 home starts.

Jay Bruce can't wait to join the Indians with a chance to face Snell.

Indians starter Danny Salazar has been stellar in three starts since coming off the DL. Salazar isn't this good. He's due to take a step back.