Kyle Gibson is a bad bet no matter where he pitches. But he's been especially bad at home where he's 3-6 with a 6.55 ERA in 11 starts at Target Field this season. Minnesota is 3-7 in Gibson's last 10 home starts. The Twins are 0-6 the past six times Gibson has pitched at home versus the Indians.

I rate Carlos Carrasco three levels higher than Gibson. So getting Cleveland at this short price is a bargain. Carrasco was very sharp in his last outing blanking the Rays for eight innings with 10 strikeouts.

The Indians have dominated this series winning 15 of the last 21. They also have won their last five overall road games.