Trevor Lawrence gives the Jaguars a quarterback edge. But that's not enough for Jacksonville. The Jets hold a strong defensive advantage, home-field on a short week and a situational advantage. The Jaguars also have two key defensive injuries in their trenches with offensive left tackle Cam Robinson and defensive lineman Travon Walker both out.

The Jets have a top-five defense that is made even better with the expected return of star defensive lineman Quinnen Williams from a calf injury. The Jaguars rank 27th in total defense.

Lawrence is playing well, but he's going to be impacted by the weather. He's also stepping up in defensive class after taking on the Cowboys, Titans and Lions. The Jets have allowed the second-fewest TD passes and third-fewest yards per pass attempt. Lawrence won't have his blind side protector with Robinson out.

The Jaguars are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. Energy could be a problem as they just pulled out a huge comeback against the Cowboys winning in overtime last Sunday. Now they are traveling into wet weather on a short week. The forecast is for gusting winds and a quarter inch of rain. The last time Lawrence played in rain was against the Eagles in early October - and he committed five turnovers.

I'm not a fan of Zach Wilson, but he did look better throwing for 317 yards and two touchdowns against the Lions at home this past Sunday.