PREMIUM
AAA's 3-GM PRO HOOPS PASS - +$43,000 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Golden State vs. Detroit,
Point Spread: 6.00 | 100.00 Detroit (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 6.00 | 100.00 Detroit (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: These teams played on November 9th and the Warriors would pull away for the 109-95 victory.
Scheduling: It's almost impossible not to imagine the Warriors getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at Cleveland on Monday and then at Chicago on Wednesday.
Home court domination: Detroit is 13-6 at home and had won four straight there prior to Tuesday's 109-99 setback to San Antonio. The Pistons rank in the league's Top 10 with 97.4 points allowed per home game.
ATS statistics: Note that the Warriors are just 5-8 ATS in non-conference games this year and only 7-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as a home dog in the 3.5 to 9 points range and 6-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite.
The bottom line: While we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, we think the home side will at the very least take this one down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge: These teams played on November 9th and the Warriors would pull away for the 109-95 victory.
Scheduling: It's almost impossible not to imagine the Warriors getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at Cleveland on Monday and then at Chicago on Wednesday.
Home court domination: Detroit is 13-6 at home and had won four straight there prior to Tuesday's 109-99 setback to San Antonio. The Pistons rank in the league's Top 10 with 97.4 points allowed per home game.
ATS statistics: Note that the Warriors are just 5-8 ATS in non-conference games this year and only 7-8 ATS vs. teams with winning records, while Detroit is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 as a home dog in the 3.5 to 9 points range and 6-1 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite.
The bottom line: While we wouldn't be completely shocked by an outright upset, we think the home side will at the very least take this one down to the wire and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.
AAA Sports
