PREMIUM
AAA's Afternoon 3-Game CBB DESTRUCTION PASS (+$2.5K CBB in 2016!)
(NCAAB) Marshall vs. Old Dominion,
Point Spread: -7.00 | -106.00 Old Dominion (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -7.00 | -106.00 Old Dominion (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on Old Dominion.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving its chances today, its leads Marshall 8-4 all time in the series and took both games last season (note that the Thundering Herd are 0-5 all time when playing at ODU).
Momentum for the home side: Last time out Trey Freeman would tie a career high with 28 points to lead the Monarchs to a come-from-behind 68-62 victory over WKU. But it was the way ODU played on the defensive end of the floor which leads us to believe the home side will come away with the cover today, the Monarchs held the Hilltoppers to 62 points, which was 16 points below their season average of 78.3
Classic letdown spot: Marshall wasn't so fortunate last time out, its comeback bid fell short at Charlotte, falling 103-95 on Thursday. It was the Herd's first loss in Conference play and suffice it to say, we're expecting a classic letdown here. The momentum from that opening streak in league play is gone and it's easier said than done in trying to re-gain it.
ATS statistics: Note that Marshall is just 4-6 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-6 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while ODU is 4-2 ATS in its last six vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: All signs point to a blowout, lay the points with confidence on OLD DOMINION.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving its chances today, its leads Marshall 8-4 all time in the series and took both games last season (note that the Thundering Herd are 0-5 all time when playing at ODU).
Momentum for the home side: Last time out Trey Freeman would tie a career high with 28 points to lead the Monarchs to a come-from-behind 68-62 victory over WKU. But it was the way ODU played on the defensive end of the floor which leads us to believe the home side will come away with the cover today, the Monarchs held the Hilltoppers to 62 points, which was 16 points below their season average of 78.3
Classic letdown spot: Marshall wasn't so fortunate last time out, its comeback bid fell short at Charlotte, falling 103-95 on Thursday. It was the Herd's first loss in Conference play and suffice it to say, we're expecting a classic letdown here. The momentum from that opening streak in league play is gone and it's easier said than done in trying to re-gain it.
ATS statistics: Note that Marshall is just 4-6 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-6 ATS after allowing 80 points or more, while ODU is 4-2 ATS in its last six vs. good offensive teams which score 77-plus points per contest.
The bottom line: All signs point to a blowout, lay the points with confidence on OLD DOMINION.
AAA Sports
