I expect a better offensive performance from Miami after putting up only 93 points on 41% shooting in Game 1 of the NBA finals. They had only one day rest following their Game 7 win against Boston, but have now had two days to rest and prepare. Expect fresh legs from both sides, leading to high-tempo basketball and effective offenses.

Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Over is 8-3 in Heat last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

10* PLAY ON OVER.