The Cleveland Cavaliers have lost four of their last six games (beating bottom feeders Orlando and Memphis) and covered the spread just once during that stretch. Here they'll host a Detroit Pistons team which has lost eight of its last 10 and been absolutely abysmal against the spread lately, but I really think the Cavs are overrated in this spot.

The Cavs are 21-11 SU but just a pathetic 6-25-1 ATS home in Quicken Loans Arena on the season while the Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

The Pistons need to start winning games and should be fired up as they enter the week four games behind eighth-place Miami Heat with 19 to play. Cleveland's fear factor is gone, and teams really seem to sense weakness and pound on this Cavaliers side. I like the Pistons to keep this a close contest.

My selection is an 8* play on Detroit Pistons.