Through the first three games of the series, the Nuggets have made it clear that if they show up, they don't lose.

The only way I see the Lakers winning here is if the Nuggets decide to take the night off to close out the series at home instead. So my reasoning is that if they lose, they won't cover the spread, and if they show up, they'll win outright. Therefore, I think we're getting better value on the moneyline than the point spread.

10* PLAY ON DENVER NUGGETS.