The Patriots are in big need of a win following home losses in one-score affairs against Philadelphia and Miami, and I like the Pats here against a Jets team they've dominated in recent seasons. The Jets were supposed to be the better team this year, but that was with Aaron Rodgers under center, not Zach Wilson.

Bill Belichick won't start the season 0-3, and if the Pats win they're more likely than not to cover the spread. We can also note that the Pats are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less over the last three seasons, while the Jets are 12-18 ATS as an underdog.

4* TOP PLAY on the Patriots.