The New England Patriots are coming into the week at 1-3 SU and ATS, but they've played a really tough schedule.

The Pats defeated the Jets 15-10 in Week 3 in the only game they closed as a favorite, and here they'll face a New Orleans team that has scored a total of only 26 points through back-to-back losses.

Neither offense has been good, but at least the Pats can lean on a defense that is holding opponents to 4.9 yards per play (6th) and 297 yards per game (10th). Considering their opponents so far (Philly, Miami, NY Jets, and Dallas), that is actually quite impressive numbers.

The Saints rank only 25th in scoring offense and are 23rd in total yards, and while they should do better now with Alvin Kamara back from suspension (he returned last week and had 51 yards on 11 carries), I don't think it will be enough against a well-coached Patriots team.

2* free pick on the New England Patriots.

Mike's NFL sides are on a RED HOT 64-41 (61%) RUN!

As of the publication of this free pick, he had four NFL premium picks locked in for Sunday:

Jaguars vs Bills (3*)
Texas vs Falcons (3*)
Titans vs Colts (3*)
Ravens vs Steelers (4*)

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