T.M. Selection: Marlins/Mets OVER.

I am on the over in the Miami Marlins vs New York Mets game on Sunday. The Marlins haven't looked great lately losing a lot of their games but their pitching hasn't really been great in those games and they have been in a few really high scoring games. The total here is sitting right around 7 and they have seen 7+ runs in 4 games in a row now without even producing a lot offense themselves. The Mets have looked really good lately as they continue to win more games but they have also been in a lot of high scoring affairs due to their great offense. They have seen 7+ runs in 4 games in a row too but they have been contributing a lot of runs in those games. I think this is going to be a game that they are both motivated to win here, with the Marlins looking to split the series and the Mets looking to increase their lead in the division. I see their being a lot of runs here but I expect it to be a closer game with both teams contributing. Sandy Alcantara (9-3, 1.82 ERA) is up for the Marlins here and he has been great this year as he doesn't give up many runs at all. He doesn't give up many runs this year but the games he starts in have been going over the posted total a lot this year because his team usually gives him a lot of run support which I expect them to do here. The Mets also have a very good offense and Alcantara hasn't been as good in road games so I expect the Mets to put up some runs on him here and force some offense out of the Marlins. Taijuan Walker (7-2, 2.86 ERA) is up for the Mets here and he has been really good all year despite coming off of an injury that kept him out of the early part of the season. He has looked a little shaky lately though, with 2/3 of his 3 most recent start seeing him give up 3 runs in each and I expect him to give up a few runs in this game too. I can see both teams putting up around 4 runs though and with this low total, I see this going over. I like the over in this game.

T.M. Prediction: 6-5 Mets.