Stephen Nover's MLB Top Ticket Total - 69% July Totals Run!
(MLB) Baltimore vs. Detroit, 07/30/2021 7:10 PM, Score: 4 - 3
Total: 9.50 | -103.00 Over
Result: Loss
The Orioles have the worst team ERA in the majors at 5.48. Matt Harvey has contributed to that with a 6.65 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 88 innings. These hideous numbers include Harvey inexplicably riding a string of 12 scoreless innings in a row.

I'm not counting on Harvey to throw a third straight well-pitched game. The Tigers are averaging 8.5 runs in their last four games. The Over is 22-7-1 in Detroit's last 30 games against a righty starter.

Baltimore, though, should do its share of damage against lefty Tarik Skubal, who has a 4.42 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Skubal is a good strikeout pitcher, but he gives up way too many homers - nine in 32 innings last season and 22 in 99 2/3 innings this year. Skubal yielded three homers in five innings against the Royals in his last start.

The Orioles have the second-highest batting average in the American League versus lefties. The Over has cashed 16 of the past 22 times when the Orioles have gone against a southpaw.

Weather-wise, the forecast is for wind to be blowing out to right at 7 mph.