The Sun have covered in their last seven road games. They are a blistering 13-3 (81%) ATS in their past 16 games. I'm backing the Sun to cover - if not upset - Chicago on the road in this opening WNBA semifinal series.

The Sky has lost four of their last seven games. They are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine home games. Chicago opened its previous series with a 98-91 home loss to New York as a 10-point favorite.

Connecticut should be less rusty than Chicago having last played this past Wednesday. The Sky clinched their series against the Liberty this past Tuesday.

The Sky went 4-0 against Connecticut during the regular season. Yet three of those four games were decided by four points or less with the game tied or the Sun leading in the fourth quarter or overtime.

Chicago is the defending WNBA champion. Connecticut, though, has plenty of postseason experience having reached the semifinals for each of the last four seasons. The Sky eliminated them in the playoffs last year. The Sun have been pointing to this first game and getting revenge for a long time. Now is their chance.