PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's Unbeaten SEC Crusher
(NCAAF) LSU vs. Washington,
10/04/2014 3:00 PM, Score: 7 - 41
Point Spread: -7.50 | -105.00 Washington (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -7.50 | -105.00 Washington (Home)
Result: Win
I like Auburn's offense and defense better than LSU. The setting and spot also significantly favor Auburn.
Auburn has covered its last nine SEC games. The Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games and 9-1 ATS against foes with a winning record. Their defense is holding opponents to 16.3 points per game and 2.7 yards per rush while intercepting seven passes. Auburn is in a huge revenge spot after LSU dealt the Tigers their only regular season loss last season.
LSU has switched quarterbacks turning to true freshman Brandon Harris. This is an extremely difficult spot for the youngster. He is likely going to be playing from behind where he will need to throw and three of his four top receivers are freshmen.
LSU has played two top opponents - Wisconsin and Mississippi State. The Tigers were outrushed by a combined 351 yards in those two games. LSU was able to take advantage of Wisconsin's problems at quarterback but fell too far behind Mississippi State at 34-10 in the final quarter before losing 34-29. In both games, though, LSU trailed big.
LSU coach Les Miles is a great recruiter. But Miles has lost a number of excellent underclass players - particularly on defense - and his team's inexperience is going to catch up to him here.
LSU has only five players on defense who have had more than 11 career starts. Auburn ranks 15th in scoring averaging 42.2 points and is 35th in yards gained. The Tigers have the offensive personnel to take full advantage in winning by a margin of more than a touchdown.
Auburn has covered its last nine SEC games. The Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games and 9-1 ATS against foes with a winning record. Their defense is holding opponents to 16.3 points per game and 2.7 yards per rush while intercepting seven passes. Auburn is in a huge revenge spot after LSU dealt the Tigers their only regular season loss last season.
LSU has switched quarterbacks turning to true freshman Brandon Harris. This is an extremely difficult spot for the youngster. He is likely going to be playing from behind where he will need to throw and three of his four top receivers are freshmen.
LSU has played two top opponents - Wisconsin and Mississippi State. The Tigers were outrushed by a combined 351 yards in those two games. LSU was able to take advantage of Wisconsin's problems at quarterback but fell too far behind Mississippi State at 34-10 in the final quarter before losing 34-29. In both games, though, LSU trailed big.
LSU coach Les Miles is a great recruiter. But Miles has lost a number of excellent underclass players - particularly on defense - and his team's inexperience is going to catch up to him here.
LSU has only five players on defense who have had more than 11 career starts. Auburn ranks 15th in scoring averaging 42.2 points and is 35th in yards gained. The Tigers have the offensive personnel to take full advantage in winning by a margin of more than a touchdown.
