Point Spread: -2.50 | -110.00 New England (Away)
Buffalo is not a good team. The Bills were fortunate to beat the Lions when Detroit missed three field goals and Calvin Johnson was sidelined. That victory has made the Bills an overrated commodity. Kyle Orton is a career backup and not comparable to Tom Brady.
The Bills have an underrated defense and solid special teams. But so do the Patriots. The Patriots are much more dangerous offensively now that Rob Gronkowski is close to 100 percent again.
New England holds a psychological edge, too, on the Bills with Brady under center. The Patriots are 22-2 versus the Bills when Brady plays.
Too much pseudo wise guy thought is going into this matchup. The bottom line here is there remains a class different. The Patriots are still at least one level higher than Buffalo.
The Patriots regained their confidence and swagger blowing out the Bengals last week. They aren't going to regress in this matchup.
(Editor's note: Long-time NFL guru Stephen Nover has turned a profit 18 of the last 20 years in the NFL, cashing 69 percent of his plays in 2012. Stephen is hot again going 8-4-1 (67 percent) during the last three weeks. Stephen has a sides play and two over/unders going today in addition to this free offering.)