Stephen Nover's Pac-12 Mispriced Matchup
(NCAAF) Arizona vs. UCLA, 11/01/2014 6:30 PM, Score: 7 - 17
Point Spread: 7.00 | -117.00 Arizona (Away)
Result: Loss
UCLA has been overrated all season and its overpriced again in this matchup. The Bruins have covered only one of eight games and is 1-4 ATS in their last five home contests. If you discount a 35-point win against Arizona State, the Bruins' average win margin in their other five victories is 4.6 points. Arizona is better than any of those foes the Bruins have narrowly beaten.

Arizona has lost only once - and that was against USC right after the Wildcats sprung their huge upset of Oregon. The Wildcats are 3-0 SU and ATS on the road.

Freshman quarterback Anu Solomon is coming on for Arizona. He threw five touchdown passes in sparking the Wildcats past Washington State, 59-37, on the road last week. The Wildcats' running backs are getting healthy and can take advantage of a UCLA defense that has given up more than 200 yards on the ground in three of its last four games.

The Bruins' pass defense is worse than their run defense ranking 105th. UCLA quarterback Brett Hundley hasn't had the monster year some were envisioning.