Stephen Nover's NFL Turkey High Roller Plus Prop
(NFL) Philadelphia vs. Dallas, 11/27/2014 11:30 AM, Score: 33 - 10
Total: 54.50 | -107.00 Under
Result: Loss
Yes, it's a high total and it's climbing higher. But I don't see stops in this game. The matchup and setting offer a perfect scenario for a monster scoring game being on a short week and inside a dome environment.

The Cowboys' pass defense has gotten worse and their ground attack hasn't been very good allowing the eighth-most rushing touchdowns. Mark Sanchez is more comfortable with each start. The Cowboys have allowed their past five opponents to complete 68.4 percent of their throws for 8.1 yard per attempt and nine touchdowns. The Eagles also have the most dangerous kick and punt returners in the league.

The Cowboys are going to do plenty of scoring against the Eagles, too. Since coming back from his back injury two games ago, Tony Romo has been sharp completing 71.7 percent of his throws with a 9.8 YPA and a 7-to-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The Eagles have given up 24 touchdown passes, the third most in the NFL, and also have to contend with the NFL's leading rusher, DeMarco Murray.

Prop Bet

I like Cowboys tight end Jason Witten to go OVER the total on prop bets for receptions and yardage. I also believe he will score a touchdown, something he has done in three of the last four games.

The Eagles are down two linebackers, DeMeco Ryans and Emmanuel Acho. This means extensive playing time for Casey Matthews, who is terrible, and rookie Marcus Smith, who is mainly a pass rusher. Neither of these guys can cover anyone.

Titans tight end Delanie Walker caught five passes against the Eagles last week for 155 yards. Just two weeks ago, the Eagles gave up seven receptions and 126 yards to the Panthers' tight ends.

Witten isn't the dominant tight end he once was, but he still knows how to get open and remains highly reliable. The Cowboys have thrown at least six passes to Witten in each of the last four games.