The Iceman's Free Play
(NCAAB) Drake vs. Miami, 03/17/2023 7:25 PM, Score: 56 - 63
Money Line: -126.00 Miami (Home)
Result: Win
This is a free play on MIA.

We saw a pair of double digit seeds win outright on the first day of the NCAA Tournament, and several favorites won and failed to cover. That's a sample size of one freaking day. Dating back to 1985 #3 seeds have won 85 percent of their first round matchups, and the average margin of victory is over 14 points per game. It's the #5 seeds perceived to be the most vulnerable, which likely influences the point spread. I expect a major correction on Day 2 of the tournament, and I'll take the ACC regular season champs just to win straight up here as the #5 seed. Drake may well be a great Mid Major team, but are they Duke? Miami was 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS versus Duke in the regular season.


Jesse Schule