Point Spread: 3.00 | 100.00 New England (Away)
The Patriots are coming off a bye week, taking a well deserved break after rattling off five straight wins. Their latest win was the most impressive of the bunch, knocking off Peyton Manning and the Broncos in a 43-21 blowout. Manning threw for 438 yards, but he was picked off twice, with just two TDs.
The Colts beat up on the Giants last week, but who doesn't beat the Giants these days. It was just two weeks ago that they were lit up in Pittsburgh in a 51-34 loss. Ben Roethlisberger threw for a whopping 522 yards and six TDs in that game.
There is no doubt that this is a big game with massive playoff implications. Exactly the type of game where Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are normally at their best. The same can't be said for Andrew Luck, who hasn't proven that he can handle the pressure when it matters the most.
Luck is 1-2 in his three post-season starts, with six TDs and eight INTs in those games. He's also 0-2 against Brady and Belichick, with a 51% completion percentage, and seven INTs in those losses.
Giving Belichick an extra week to prepare a game plan, I don't see how you can bet against the Pats getting points.