Schule's NCAAF Friday Night Fistful of Dollar$
(NCAAF) Air Force vs. San Diego State, 11/21/2014 4:30 PM, Score: 14 - 30
Point Spread: 6.00 | -105.00 Air Force (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the Air Force Falcons.

The Falcons will be on the road at San Diego State taking on the Aztecs on Friday, and the visitors boast a record of 8-2. It's not exactly like they've been playing cupcakes either, as those wins have come against the likes of Boise State, Army, Navy and Nevada.

The Aztecs lost to both Boise State and Nevada, and QB Quinn Kaehler threw for 362 yards and a pair of TDs, getting picked off twice in those games. When the line opened with San Diego State as a two point favorite, it seemed reasonable enough given the venue. We've seen public money come in on the Aztecs though, and I don't think it's realistic to ask them to cover a big spread here.

This is not the same San Diego State team that won 17 games over the last two seasons, they've regressed quite a bit this year. Kaehler has really struggled, throwing fewer TDs (8) than he has INTs (9).

I've heard that one of the reason's for line movement here is that the Falcons will be without their leading rusher Jacobi Owens. That doesn't bother me in the slightest, as a team that runs the triple option they have serious depth in the backfield. In fact they had four players average more yard per carry than Owens in last week's win over Nevada.

Take AFA.


Jesse Schule