I guess we’ll have to hold our noses here, but I’ll back Detroit as a home dog. I just think it’s time to fade Washington, who has won and covered six straight games.

Over their last three games, the Wizards have beaten Houston, San Antonio and an injury-ravaged New Orleans squad. I’m still not too impressed with a team that’s just 12-16 SU on the road and 7-10 ATS as a favorite.

While the Pistons have dropped 9 of 11 overall, the last two games saw them fall by only three and six points. The most recent loss came in Dallas with Luka Doncic going off for 53 points. Despite that, they were only down two with under two minutes remaining.

The Wizards have beaten the Pistons six straight times, but three of those wins were by exactly three points.

At the very worst, I expect this to be a close game. I do think the Pistons have a solid shot at winning outright. This has to be considered the “peak of the market” for Washington, who has not been asked to lay six or more on the road all season. 10*