10* Over Indians/White Sox (7:08 ET): Admittedly, betting a Shane Bieber start to go Over the total sounds risky. The Indians starter for Sunday has been lights out through three starts with a 0.83 ERA and 0.692 WHIP. All three starts have gone Under and the Indians are 3-0 as well. Bieber has a ridiculous 35 strikeouts in 20 ⅔ IP, which is the third most for any pitcher in MLB history through his first three starts. Furthermore, Cleveland is now 14-2 Under in all games this season!

However, as the Tribe showed yday, they are capable of putting some runs on the board. They scored seven times in the win, evening this series up at one game each. Now they’d previously been shut out Friday. But it was just two games ago that they hung 13 runs on the Reds. I do believe this lineup will start to “get going” and it’s worth noting the only other time White Sox starter Lucas Giolito started here at home, he gave up seven runs in 3 ⅔ IP.

Now I’m well aware that Giolito has since bounced back w/ a pair of quality starts, one of them being six shutout innings vs. these Indians. But that was on the road. The White Sox are allowing more than 6.0 rpg at home thus far and the bullpen ERA here at Guaranteed Rate Field was a woeful 5.36 entering yesterday’s game. It’s a low total Sunday night and I see this game sneaking Over. 10* Over Indians/White Sox