10* Over Astros/Rays (6:07 ET): None of the ALCS games so far have gone Over. We’re looking at a 5-0 Under mark and going back to the LDS, the Rays are 7-0 Under their L7. During that time, Tampa Bay is hitting just .174 as a team (yet has managed to go 5-2!). But the lack of hitting seems to be catching up on them as the L2 days have seen them fail to eliminate the Astros, losing 4-3 in both games. I feel we’re going to get that “elusive” Over tonight as this series has certainly seen plenty of home runs.

Five of the seven runs scored in last night’s game came via the home run. The Rays hit three, but all were solo shots! Of course, a home run is what decided the game as Houston’s Carlos Correa “called his shot” and walked off in the bottom of the ninth. The Astros now have six home runs in the L3 games of the series. They’ve homered in every game this postseason besides the first one. They’ve got 21 HR’s in 11 games, hitting multiple in seven of the last nine. The one run they scored off Blake Snell in Game came via the long ball. Remember that Snell had allowed three HR’s in his lone LDS start against the Yankees.

Tampa Bay has homered in all but two postseason games and six multi-HR games. They homered against Framber Valdez in Game 1. If only we could have some runners on base when these homers are being hit, we would have seen multiple Overs in this series! I know Game 1, which had the same exact starting pitching matchup as tonight (Valdez vs. Snell), was a 2-1 final. But we’ve seen six or seven total runs scored in each of the L4 games. Finally, the Astros and Rays get over the “scoring hump” tonight as both bullpens have seen heavy usage and may be running out of gas. 10* Over Astros/Rays