POWER SPORTS' MLB DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH ~ INSANE 17-5-1 RUN!
(MLB) Philadelphia vs. NY Mets, 09/17/2021 7:10 PM, Score: 4 - 3
Point Spread: 1.50 | -145.00 NY Mets (Home)
Result: Win
9* Run Line NY Mets (7:10 ET): First off, please note that this is a run line play where I am backing the Mets +1.5. The Mets were swept by the Phillies back in early August, putting them in this revenge situation. What I like besides the revenge angle is the fact that the Mets had Thursday off and the Phillies didn’t. The Mets certainly needed the day off after being swept again, this time by the Cardinals here at home. It’s been a rough second half of the season in Queens as the team has gone from leading the NL East to below .500. But I see the home team doing no worse than a one-run loss today.

The Phillies were 17-8 winners yesterday over the Cubs. Something worth mentioning about that game is that the Phils trailed at one point by seven runs. They became the first team in the modern era to win a game by 9+ runs after trailing by seven or more. When it comes to playoff contention, they are in far better position than the Mets, only 2.5 games out of the Wild Card and 3 games back of the division lead. But this club is only 32-40 on the road this year and 8-8 as a road favorite of -125 to -175. So I really like the +1.5 option we are getting here, especially at this price. On their last road trip, Philadelphia lost two of three to both Miami and Milwaukee with one of the two wins coming by a single run.

Fading Phillies’ starter Zach Wheeler may seem risky, given he has 18 quality starts under his belt and 12 of those saw him allow 1 or 0 ER. The last two times Wheeler has faced the Mets, he’s had their number; allowing no runs in 16 IP. The last one was a complete game. But while he’s been good recently, Wheeler had a rough August (allowed 4+ ER five times) and his numbers on the road aren’t nearly as good as they are at home. I feel that Mets’ starter Taijuan Walker (1.041 WHIP at home) has pitched better than his record shows. This will be his fifth time facing Philadelphia in 2021 and he has a 3-1 TSR. Considering the Phillies trailed the Cubs by seven y’day, would you really be that surprised to see them lose here? 9* NY Mets +1.5