9* North Alabama (4:30 ET): I love dabbling in these smaller conferences as that’s often where the most value is. Such is the case today in the Atlantic Sun where North Alabama hosts Stetson. Now both of these teams have been struggling in 2022. North Alabama has dropped six of seven with the one win coming by a single point. Stetson has dropped three in a row and four of its last five. But the key is home court advantage. Having it, North Alabama should be a much bigger favorite in this spot.

The Lions have won six of seven at home this season, outscoring their opponents by 28.6 PPG! Now that’s a little skewed by them posting three blowout wins over non-DI teams. However, their last win came here in Florence as they upended Eastern Kentucky as 5.5-point underdogs. That’s an EKU team I just won with earlier this week. Since that win, the Lions have dropped two straight on the road, but one of them was in overtime. North Alabama has the distinction of having faced Gonzaga & Auburn this year (#1 and #2), so they won’t be intimidated by anyone from the A-Sun.

Stetson is a team that’s only been favored in two games all year. Both times they were favored by two points or less. The Hatters are underdogs here, but it’s a short number. My point is this is typically not a team that the oddsmakers expect to win. They are 2-6 SU on the road. Earlier in the week, Stetson lost in OT to Florida Gulf Coast, which was extra painful as they battled back from a 15-point halftime deficit at home. The two games prior saw them average just 49.5 points. 9* North Alabama