MIT Simulator - MLB Sunday Dodgers vs Cubs Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Dodgers 4.28, Cubs 3.17 - Projected Margin: 1.11 - Current Money Line: -150 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of just slightly above one run which makes the run line a "toss up" but money line very much worthy of investment here. Projected box-score shows Dodgers outhitting Cubs by 2.47 hits. Key factors noted: In the month of October the Cubs have had just one big game at the plate (when they scored 9 in their series clincher over the Nationals). In the Cubs other 6 games this month they have averaged just 1.8 runs per game and never scored more than 3 runs. The Dodgers are averaging 6.2 runs per game in their 5 games in October and they have scored 5 runs or more in 4 of the 5 games. In addition to the difference at the plate, Jon Lester has a 4.24 ERA this season while Rich Hill has a 2.85 ERA in home starts this season. Dodgers Hill was fantastic versus Cubs last October. Cubs Lester was awful versus Dodgers in match-up in late May this year. Projected box-score shows Dodgers outhitting Cubs by 1.26 extra base hits. Combination of hits (including extra base hits) equating to margin of 1.11 runs in favor of Dodgers per MIT Simulator. Play: LOS ANGELES DODGERS