MIT Simulator - NBA Tuesday Warriors vs Rockets Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Golden State 116.67, Houston 113.27 - Projected Margin of Victory: 3.40 - Current Line: 9.5 - Variance to Line: 6.10 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 6.10 points. Value of half-dozen points! Key factors noted: Rockets acquisition of Chris Paul provides a floor leader and the overall leadership the Rockets need. Houston's 4 games with Golden State last season featured one blowout loss but, in the other three games, the Rockets went 1-2 (the win was at Golden State) with a combined net differential of only 11 points - average margin of 3.67 points. Houston is 5-2 ATS in road games with a total of 230 points or more. The road team in the Rockets / Warriors match-ups last season went undefeated ATS with 1 push and 3 wins! Projected box-score shows Rockets with an edge of 3.14 more three point field goals made and 3.98 more free throws made than the Warriors. Also shows Golden State with edge of 8.40 more two point field goals made. Hustle stats favor Warriors with 1.19 more steals and 2.31 more blocked shots. Net edge factors for Warriors equating to a victory by a very slim margin - 3.40 points - per MIT Simulator. Play: ROCKETS