NFL Sunday Patriots vs Falcons Winner
(NFL) Atlanta vs. New England, 10/22/2017 4:30 PM, Score: 7 - 23
Point Spread: 3.50 | -110.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Loss
MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Patriots vs Falcons Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Atlanta 31.32, New England 24.81 - Projected Margin of Victory: 6.51 - Current Line: +3.5 - Variance to Line: 10.01 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.01 points. Value in double digits. Projected box-score shows Falcons rushing edge of 13.84 yards in excess of Patriots rushing total. Key factors noted: Of course Atlanta has revenge from the Super Bowl when they blew a 28-3 lead and lost in overtime. It appears the Falcons were already looking ahead to this game when they blew a 17-0 lead versus the Dolphins last week. The Patriots did beat the Jets last week but had to rally for the win and continue to be unimpressive early this season. New England has already lost at home to the Chiefs and Panthers this season. New England's defense is allowing 440.7 yards per game game compared to Falcons defense allowing only 312.4 yards per game. Falcons are 8-1 ATS their last 9 as a road dog. Patriots are 0-3 ATS at home this season. Pass defense of New England (324.8 yards per game) is dead last in the NFL. Projected box-score shows Falcons with a passing edge of 39.72 yards in excess of New England passing total. Combined edge of 53.56 yards for Atlanta equating to victory by 6.51 points per MIT Simulator. Play: FALCONS