MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Cowboys vs Chiefs Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Kansas City 28.82, Dallas 24.18 - Projected Margin of Victory: 4.64 - Current Line: +2.5 - Variance to Line: 7.14 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.14 points. Value in excess of a touchdown! Projected box-score shows Chiefs passing edge of 61.79 yards in excess of Cowboys passing total. Key factors noted: With the announcement that Ezekiel Elliott would be able to play Sunday, this line has jumped up. The result is value on the Chiefs. Kansas City does have some concerns on the defensive side of the ball but the Chiefs offense is the best balanced offensive attack in the league statistically. A lot of points are expected here as the O/U is in the mid-50s for this games. The Cowboys are on an 0-6 ATS run in home games with an O/U of 49.5 or more points. Dallas is also 0-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3 or less points and the Cowboys have lost all 4 of those games straight-up too. The win over the Redskins last week was a much closer game than indicated by the final score. Kansas City is 7-1 SU (and 6-2 ATS) in November games the prior 2 Novembers. Cowboys averaging 208.8 passing yards last 5 games, Chiefs averaging 267.0 passing yards per game last 5 games. The aerial attack of KC will be the difference here. Even though Chiefs off of key divisional win, so too is Dallas! MIT Simulator composite forecast equating to an upset win here for Kansas City by 4.64 points. Play: CHIEFS