MIT Simulator - NFL Monday Packers vs Lions Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Detroit 28.04, Green Bay 24.98 - Projected Total Points: 53.02 - Current O/U: 43 - Variance to O/U: 10.02 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.02 points. Value in double digits. Key factors noted: Even though it will be cold in Green Bay tonight the winds will be light and no precipitation is expected. Packers back-up QB Brett Hundley had extra time to get worked into the offense thanks to the bye week giving Green Bay two weeks between games. The Lions offense has been posting huge yardage with QB Matthew Stafford throwing for nearly 700 yards the past two games. Though Detroit was held out of the end zone (5 field goals versus Pittsburgh) the Lions did total 482 yards of offense versus the Steelers. Packers pass defense is a weakness. Prior to being held to 15 points by the Steelers, the Lions had scored 24 or more points in 5 of 6 games. Green Bay is averaging 24 points per game at home this season. 3 of last 4 meetings at Lambeau Field have gone over the total. Projected box-score shows Packers and Lions combining for 203.76 yards of rushing total. Projected box-score shows Green Bay and Detroit combining for 557.27 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 761.03 total yards equating to 53.02 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER