MIT Simulator - NBA Monday Warriors vs Heat Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Golden State 124.37, Miami 109.76 - Projected Total Points: 234.13 - Current O/U: 224 - Variance to O/U: 10.13 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.13 points. Value in double digits. Projected box-score shows Warriors and Heat combining for 24 three pointers, 63 two pointers, 36 free throws. Key factors noted: Heat have won 2 of 3 and confidence growing with improved shooting. Miami defense likely lacking playing 2nd night of back to back and 3rd game in 4 days. Golden State a tough team to slow down - averaging 127 points per game last 3 games. Warriors shooting 52.8% from the field and 41.7% three pointers. Other than game against San Antonio, Warriors defense has allowed at least 100 in every other game (113.4 ppg in 9 games). When O/U of at least 220, Golden State is 6-1 to the over this season and Miami is 3-1 O/U in games with total of at least 220. Strong O/U line value here per the simulation. Projected box-score made shots (as detailed above) equates to 234 points per MIT Simulator. Play: OVER