MIT Simulator - CFB Tuesday Miami-Ohio vs Akron Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Zips 24.94, Redhawks 23.01 - Projected Margin of Victory: 1.93 - Current Line: +5.5 - Variance to Line: 7.43 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 7.43 points. Value in excess of a touchdown! Projected box-score shows Zips rushing edge of 10.38 yards in excess of Redhawks rushing total. Key factors noted: Akron has played tougher strength of schedule. Miami-Ohio has struggled with the QB situation involving Gus Ragland. Although Redhawks piled up a lot of yardage last week turnovers were a key detriment again. Miami-Ohio has turned the ball over at least twice in 4 of last 5 games. Zips have only turned the ball over a total of 4 times in their last 4 games. The Zips still need one more win for bowl eligibility and they do have a tough game on deck with Ohio University so Akron knows a win in this week's game is critical as they don't want it to come down to the last week of the season after the game against the Bobcats. Last Tuesday's loss for Miami-Ohio nearly sunk their bowl hopes. The Redhawks must win out to earn a bowl bid and that is easier said than done. Spirits at Miami-Ohio are not good and they certainly haven't been good in terms of covers either - 2-7 ATS this season. Akron is 6-3 ATS this season. Statistically the Redhawks look like the better team but they continue to find ways to lose. Fixing those issues in a prime-time game against a Zips team that is 4-1 (SU and ATS) in the MAC will not be easy. A lot of value with the points here in a game Akron will be hungry for and could win outright. The Zips have won this match-up each of the last 4 seasons. Projected box-score shows Akron passing edge of 11.29 yards in excess of Miami-Ohio passing total. Combined yardage edge for underdog Zips of 21.67 total yards equating to victory by 1.93 points per MIT Simulator. Play: AKRON