MIT Simulator - NCAAB Wednesday Indiana vs Arkansas State Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Hoosiers 77.93, Red Wolves 75.71 - Projected Margin of Victory: 2.22 - Current Line: +13 - Variance to Line: 10.78 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.28 points. Value is in double digits! Key factors noted: Indiana has been very inconsistent this season as they've alternated good defensive performances with bad. Off of a good one, look for the Hoosiers to again be flat here on the defensive end as that has been their pattern. They've allowed 57% and 59% from the field in their 2 bad performances and another one is due up here after they played well against South Florida. Arkansas State has also struggled early this season but the Red Wolves are 12-6 ATS when playing with 1 day or less of rest between games and also 6-3 ATS as a road dog of 12.5 points or more. Look for a shocker here as the dog is in this one all the way against a Hoosiers team still working out the kinks early this season. Net edge factors for Indiana equating to a victory by only 2.22 points per MIT Simulator. Play: ARKANSAS STATE