MIT Simulator - NCAAF Saturday Hawaii vs BYU Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cougars 31.59, Warriors 17.10 - Projected Margin of Victory: 14.49 - Current Line: 3 - Variance to Line: 11.49 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 11.49 points. Value is nearly a dozen points! Projected box-score shows BYU passing edge of 43.96 yards in excess of Hawaii passing total. Key factors noted: Hawaii is having an awful season, including at the betting window. Look for the Warriors to add one more loss to the ugly ATS record here. The motivation here lies with a BYU team trying to avoid a 10th loss. At least the Cougars have shown some signs of life lately with a 2-2 SU mark in their last 4 games and 3-1 ATS in those match-ups. The Warriors have averaged only 12.8 points per game their last 4 games. The Cougars put up 31 points in their most recent road game and also have the much better defense in comparison with Hawaii. Brigham Young has given up an average of 25 points per game this season while the Warriors have allowed 34 points per game. Entering this season, the Rainbow Warriors were 1-8 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage under .333 and the Cougars enter this game at .250 on the season! BYU crushed Hawaii 47-0 when these teams last met in 2012. Even though the Warriors would love payback, Brigham Young entered this season 6-0 ATS when on the road and facing an opponent that had a winning percentage under .700 and was playing with revenge. That system fits here as the Warriors seek revenge but they won't get it! Projected box-score shows Cougars rushing edge of 161.88 yards in excess of Warriors rushing total. Total edge of 205.84 total yards for the small favorite equating to blowout victory by 14.49 points per MIT Simulator. Play: BRIGHAM YOUNG