MIT Simulator - NFL Sunday Cardinals vs Jaguars Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Jacksonville 16.83, Arizona 10.99 - Projected Total Points: 27.82 - Current O/U: 38 - Variance to O/U: 10.18 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 10.18 points. Value is double digits. Key factors noted: The Jaguars strength on offense is the ground game but the Cardinals strength on defense is defending the run. Arizona's strength on offense is the passing attack but Jacksonville's strength on defense is defending the pass. You can see why, despite the low O/U posted on this game, the under is the way to go and the Simulator is predicting a very low score. Of course the Cardinals are a different team without Carson Palmer at QB. Arizona is averaging only 14.25 points per game their last 4 games. Jacksonville's defense is allowing only 7.75 points per game their last 4 games. The Cardinals defense, in games played at Arizona, has allowed 305 yards or less in 3 of 4 games! The O/U is 7-14 in Cards home games. The O/U is 1-4 in Jaguars road games. Projected box-score shows Jaguars and Cardinals combining for 191.39 yards of rushing total. Projected box-score shows Jacksonville and Arizona combining for 339.46 yards of passing total. Combined yardage of 530.85 total yards equating to 27.82 points per MIT Simulator. Play: UNDER