MLB - The Rockies offer excellent line value here as they are small home underdog which is also available at small price to have the added insurance of the +1.5 runs on the run line. As the home team that also guarantees 9 innings of at bats (if needed) to insure either an outright upset or nothing more than a 1-run margin in defeat. Per the simulation report, strong probability that one of those two things will be the final outcome here. Colorado is 43-23 at home this season. Atlanta only 49-47 against right-handed starters. Senzatela 1.35 ERA last 3 starts. Ynoa making first ever start at Coors Field which often does not go well for pitchers! Senzatela has pitched well at home this season. No matter who pitches here, a lot of value with the Rockies - particularly on the run line. Just playing the home team in all Colorado games this season has resulted in a 93-41 record! Grab the home team in this Rockies game again. Play COLORADO +1.5 runs -120