Long before we had the sophisticated software to prove it, I has observed that teams off a bad game play with a lot more urgency than teams off a good one. Going against undefeated home teams off home win is 56-33 including 27-9 last 10 years, where technology helps the public overreact even more.

Going with road team after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better is 60-38.