Going with bad teams off a win is +179.8 units. This is elevated to a Wise Guy as Philadelphia has clearly regressed to the mean. They are one of the worst teams in MLB camouflaged by the shocking start to the season and hence overvalued. We have certainly made a ton of money over the decades fading young gun studs like Aaron Nola who are facing rare adversity in their young careers. He has been drilled for 12 runs, 10 earned in his last 6.2 IP.