1st of 3 in CFB 3-pack Saturday
(NCAAF) NC State vs. North Carolina, 10/24/2020 12:00 PM, Score: 21 - 48
Total: 60.00 | -114.00 Over
Result: Win
#321/322 ASA PLAY 8* ON OVER 60 Points – North Carolina State @ North Carolina, Saturday at 12:00 PM ET - First off we are well aware of the injury situation for North Carolina State here. QB Devin Leary is out. However, Bailey Hockman will be in at QB and he led the Wolfpack to their win versus Wake Forest earlier this season and then came in last week against Duke and led them on a scoring drive culminated by his TD pass. Hockman can't wait for this opportunity against NC State's fiercest rival as this is a chance to redeem himself from a rough game in his other road appearance this season (at Virginia Tech). Hockman will be testing out a North Carolina defense that recently got scorched for 495 yards by Virginia Tech two weeks ago! The Tar Heels first two games this season were against Syracuse and Boston College and that helped mask some issues on the defensive side of the ball. The Tar Heels defense absolutely has issues and that is what the Hokies exposed two weeks ago. UNC followed up that effort by allowing 31 points to Florida State in the first half last week. Yes, the Tar Heels shut down FSU in the 2nd half but the Seminoles also seemed to try and go into protect lead mode and very nearly paid for that decision. The Seminoles still finished with 432 yards of offense and this Heels defense still can't be trusted in our opinion. However, the other side of the ball is where UNC really has no issues. The Tar Heels had 558 yards of offense against the Seminoles last week and should have scored much more than 28 points! Also, two weeks ago against the Hokies, North Carolina won the game despite allowing 45 points as they exploded for 56 points on 656 yards of offense. The Heels have a fantastic backfield as Carter and Williams ran for 214 and 169 yards, respectively, plus each had a pair of rushing TDs in that win over Virginia Tech. Also, QB Howell was 18 of 23 for 257 yards and 3 TDs in that game and then threw for 374 yards and 3 more TDs against the Noles last week. The Wolfpack defense is allowing 421.4 yards per game and was only saved last week by the fact they were facing a turnover-prone Blue Devils team. Otherwise Duke would have scored a lot more against NC State and certainly UNC won't be mistake-prone here like the Blue Devils were. The Tar Heels are averaging 7.37 yards per play on offense to rank among the most efficient offenses in the nation. After facing weaker offenses of Duke, Virginia, and Pittsburgh in their last 3 games, NC State now faces a team that is a powerhouse on offense. Keep in mind, the Wolfpack allowed 43.5 points per game their first two games this season. You can see exactly why we're expecting both teams to enjoy plenty of success lighting up the scoreboard in this one as our computer math model is forecasting a shootout. Ideal weather conditions expected for this one as well. Both teams getting well into the 30’s mean an OVER here and Tar Heels (double digit favorite here) have a good shot to get into the 40's!