CFB Big Ten High Noon TV
(NCAAF) Indiana vs. Ohio State, 11/21/2020 12:00 PM, Score: 35 - 42
Point Spread: -20.50 | -105.00 Ohio State (Home)
Bookmaker: PinnacleSports
Result: Loss
#358 ASA PLAY ON 8* Ohio State -20.5 over Indiana, Saturday at 12 Noon ET - We’re simply not sold on the undefeated Hoosiers quite yet. They are 4-0 but let’s quickly recap their games so you can see what we mean. They opened the season beating PSU 36-35 in OT. Looked like a great win at the time. PSU is now 0-4. Not only that, the Nittany Lions dominated that game with nearly a +300 total yard advantage. Their other wins have come against Rutgers, Michigan, and Michigan State. Their home win vs the Wolverines looked great at the time as well but now, not swo much. The combined record of those teams that IU beat is 3-10. We think they are walking into a hornet’s nest here. OSU had an unwanted bye last week as their game vs Maryland was cancelled. They are healthy and anxious to get back on the field. This is a prove a point type game for the Buckeyes and it might be their last one until the Big 10 Championship game as they should be favored by 28+ from this point on in the regular season. IU is tied with OSU for first place in the Big 10 East and the winner has the inside track to the conference championship game. Don’t think that hasn’t been brought up numerous times to the OSU players. We think they get ahead and don’t take their foot off the pedal in this one as they want to make a statement. Indiana struggles to run the ball ranking 117th nationally despite their easy schedule thus far. That puts a ton of pressure on QB Penix to make plays and he has this year, however he’s seen nothing close to the defense he’ll see on Saturday. He’s been fairly mistake free with just 3 interceptions this year. We think that changes here vs a Buckeye defense that has 5 takeaways in 3 games. The Hoosier defense has seen nothing close to OSU’s offense this season. The QB’s they’ve faces are PSU’s Clifford (already been benched), Rutgers Vedral (already thrown 7 picks averaging only 180 YPG passing), Michigan’s Milton (just 58% completion rate), and MSU’s Lombardi (already benched). Now they face Justin Fields who has completed 87% of this passes this year (only 11 incompletions this season) who has thrown for 52 TD’s and just 3 interceptions since taking over last season. Ohio State has won 25 straight in this series and each of the last 4 have come by at least 21 points. They were favored by 17 @ Indiana last year and won by 41 points. We think OSU rolls in this game.