MLB Total Blowout
(MLB) Oakland vs. Texas, 06/23/2021 8:05 PM, Score: 3 - 5
Total: 9.50 | -101.00 Over
Result: Loss
#915/916 ASA top play on 10* OVER 9.5 Oakland A's @ Texas Rangers, 8:05 PM ET - The Athletics have won 8 of 11 games and have scored 6.6 runs per game in the last 10 games of that stretch with 8 of those 10 going over the total. The Rangers are on a 7-2-1 O/U run with an average of 5 runs scored per game in the last 9 of those games. The pitching match-up is also positive for the over here as Texas has a struggling Mike Foltneywicz slated to get the start. The Rangers right-hander is 1-7 with a 5.59 ERA and things are going from bad to worse as Foltneywicz has a 6.88 ERA over his last 7 starts. Oakland starter James Kaprielian has produced solid numbers overall but has a 4.32 ERA in his road starts this year. If he is going to get touched up it is likely to be on the road and Kaprielian has a 5.65 ERA in his last 3 starts and gave up 2 homers in his most recent road start. The O/U is 21-10 in the last 31 meetings between these teams so there is a history of overs between these divisional foes in recent seasons. The money line on Oakland is moving lower this morning and this is indicating possible sharp money on Texas as who else would be betting a Rangers team that has lost 7 of 8 games? The point is that for Texas to have a shot to win this one they will have to score plenty based on how Foltneywicz has so consistently struggled. That being said, plenty of runs likely in this one given all of these variables. This total is in the 9.5 range but our computer math model shows this one getting into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 5 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 11 runs (6-5 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet Over