THE INSIDERS ROOM'S 10* NATIONAL TOTAL HOME RUN BLOWOUT!
(MLB) Arizona vs. San Diego, 08/08/2020 9:10 PM, Score: 3 - 2
Total: 7.50 | 103.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL HOME RUN BLOWOUT on the OVER D-Backs/Padres.

Both teams have been struggling with offensive consistency to open the season, but I think this total will sneak over the number as this game enters the latter frames.

Merrill Kelly (1-1, 2.63 ERA) gave up three runs over six innings in a loss to the Dodgers last time out. Kelly has admittedly been sharp in the early going, but note that he was just 13-14 with a 4.42 ERA last year, including only 6-9 with a 5.42 ERA on the road. Regression is imminent for Kelly in my opinion.

Chris Paddack (2-0, 2.65) most recently allowed three runs over six innings in a 5-4 win over the Dodgers on Monday. Note that Paddack has allowed home runs in back-to-back starts but been fortunate they've both been of the "solo" variety.

Additionally note that the Friars have seen the total go OVER the number in seven of their last nine home games following a shutout of an NL opponent at home.

This number is just a little low, the play is the over.

Good luck, NP